One Week Left of the Election Season
Or this post could also be titled: Florida, please don't frack this up again by making this process longer.
So, it has been well over a year, proabably darned close to two years, this election process has been going on. We've seen the unexpected happen (McCain winning the Republican nomination), the very unexpected (Palin gets VP nomination), the unnecessarily lengthy fight (Clinton and Obama fight almost to the end for the Democratic nomination), and of course claims made that are darned near false (um....just go to Factcheck.org, everyone involved has done this).
Things really got interesting around March, about when people were expecting both Republican and Democratic candidates to rise out and begin the 1-on-1 match for president. It turn out for both parties to cause problems.
The Republicans was interesting since most of the hardcore wanted the Romneys, the Huckabees, the Thompsons...but McCain came out on top. Many of the hardcore disliked the relative moderate to be nominated, not after having their way for the past eight years (for the most part).
McCain got out of it by nominiating a known figure, but a young, up and comming lady from Alaska. In having a self-proclaimed conservative, and one that didn't appear to conflict with him, appeared to be the right move at the time.
On the Democratic side, Obama and Clinton duked it out. For a long time. Excessively long as some argued. At first, the two appeared to be tied. But as time went by, Obama overtook the relative political veteran in every measure.
The problem was that for a long time, it seemed that many Obama supporters and Clinton supporters wouldn't vote for their competator in the general election. However, it seemed that after the Democratic Convention, that hasn't been an issue, or much of one.
It has been made much less of an issue since Obama has gained such a huge lead in the polls. As much as the McCain people have been finger-pointing over the problems in the campaign, it was the economy that really swung in Obama's favor.
The specific turning point was when Bush called for a $700 Billion "rescue plan" (bailout) of top loan companies and banks since they were all on the verge of colapse. Before then, the economy was arguable on whether it was up or down (or at least argueable in a political sense, which most anything is arguable in). While most everyone is responsible for that mess, it seems that Republicans are getting the majority blame for it.
So, want my predictions for the outcome? If not, you're getting it anyway.
1) Obama will lead in the overall vote by a small margin, but will have quite a bit of a lead in the electoral college.
2) There will be calls of voter fraud, election fraud, ect. by Republicans. This is mostly based of the pattern of the last few elections having similar accusations, mostly by the loser of said election.
3) While the Democrats will get more seats in both houses, I doubt they will get the 60 needed to be filibuster proof in the Senate. So while Republicans QQ, they still hold some check and will probably use it often (as they have the past few years).
I'll be back in a week to see if I'm right (and I'm playing it safe on these predictions).
So, it has been well over a year, proabably darned close to two years, this election process has been going on. We've seen the unexpected happen (McCain winning the Republican nomination), the very unexpected (Palin gets VP nomination), the unnecessarily lengthy fight (Clinton and Obama fight almost to the end for the Democratic nomination), and of course claims made that are darned near false (um....just go to Factcheck.org, everyone involved has done this).
Things really got interesting around March, about when people were expecting both Republican and Democratic candidates to rise out and begin the 1-on-1 match for president. It turn out for both parties to cause problems.
The Republicans was interesting since most of the hardcore wanted the Romneys, the Huckabees, the Thompsons...but McCain came out on top. Many of the hardcore disliked the relative moderate to be nominated, not after having their way for the past eight years (for the most part).
McCain got out of it by nominiating a known figure, but a young, up and comming lady from Alaska. In having a self-proclaimed conservative, and one that didn't appear to conflict with him, appeared to be the right move at the time.
On the Democratic side, Obama and Clinton duked it out. For a long time. Excessively long as some argued. At first, the two appeared to be tied. But as time went by, Obama overtook the relative political veteran in every measure.
The problem was that for a long time, it seemed that many Obama supporters and Clinton supporters wouldn't vote for their competator in the general election. However, it seemed that after the Democratic Convention, that hasn't been an issue, or much of one.
It has been made much less of an issue since Obama has gained such a huge lead in the polls. As much as the McCain people have been finger-pointing over the problems in the campaign, it was the economy that really swung in Obama's favor.
The specific turning point was when Bush called for a $700 Billion "rescue plan" (bailout) of top loan companies and banks since they were all on the verge of colapse. Before then, the economy was arguable on whether it was up or down (or at least argueable in a political sense, which most anything is arguable in). While most everyone is responsible for that mess, it seems that Republicans are getting the majority blame for it.
So, want my predictions for the outcome? If not, you're getting it anyway.
1) Obama will lead in the overall vote by a small margin, but will have quite a bit of a lead in the electoral college.
2) There will be calls of voter fraud, election fraud, ect. by Republicans. This is mostly based of the pattern of the last few elections having similar accusations, mostly by the loser of said election.
3) While the Democrats will get more seats in both houses, I doubt they will get the 60 needed to be filibuster proof in the Senate. So while Republicans QQ, they still hold some check and will probably use it often (as they have the past few years).
I'll be back in a week to see if I'm right (and I'm playing it safe on these predictions).
posted by SeanM at 11:19 AM
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